Plot Variance of Posterior Means Across Replicates — plot_posterior

Creates a plot showing how the variance of posterior means across replicates changes with H. Lower variance indicates more consistent predictions.

Usage

plot_posterior_variance(results_multi, title = NULL)

Arguments

results_multi: List from consolidate_results() with by_replicate=TRUE.
title: Optional plot title (default NULL).

Value

ggplot2 object.

Details

For each H value, computes the variance of posterior means across replicates at each time point, then averages these variances over time. Lower variance indicates that the fitted H produces more consistent predictions across different random realizations of the data.

Examples

if (FALSE) { # \dontrun{
results <- consolidate_results(fits_list, sims_list, by_replicate = TRUE)
p <- plot_posterior_variance(results)
print(p)
} # }